Decision Making , Movement Planning , 1 and Statistical Decision Theory
نویسندگان
چکیده
37 We discuss behavioral studies directed at understanding how probability 38 information is represented in motor and economic tasks. By formulating the behavioral 39 tasks in the language of statistical decision theory, we can compare performance in 40 equivalent tasks in different domains. Subjects in traditional economic decision-making 41 tasks often misrepresent the probability of rare events and typically fail to maximize 42 expected gain. In contrast, subjects in mathematically equivalent movement tasks often 43 choose movement strategies that come close to maximizing expected gain. We discuss 44 the implications of these different outcomes, noting the evident differences between the 45 source of uncertainty and how information about uncertainty is acquired in motor and 46 economic tasks. 47 48
منابع مشابه
Decision making, movement planning and statistical decision theory.
We discuss behavioral studies directed at understanding how probability information is represented in motor and economic tasks. By formulating the behavioral tasks in the language of statistical decision theory, we can compare performance in equivalent tasks in different domains. Subjects in traditional economic decision-making tasks often misrepresent the probability of rare events and typical...
متن کاملA novel approach in robust group decision making for supply strategic planning
Long-term planning is a challenging process for dealing with problems in big industries. Quick and flexible process of responding to the existing variable requirements are considered in such problems. Some of important strategic decisions which should be made in this field are, namely the way that manufacturing facilities should be applied as well as assignment and design the system of delivery...
متن کاملApplication of Rough Set Theory in Data Mining for Decision Support Systems (DSSs)
Decision support systems (DSSs) are prevalent information systems for decision making in many competitive business environments. In a DSS, decision making process is intimately related to some factors which determine the quality of information systems and their related products. Traditional approaches to data analysis usually cannot be implemented in sophisticated Companies, where managers ne...
متن کاملApplication of Fuzzy Decision-Making to Facility Layout Planning
This research proposes a vigorous methodology based on the fuzzy set theory to improve the facility layout process. Using natural language, the fuzzy set theory is an appropriate tool for controlling complex systems such as facility planning. The closeness rating between departments in a plant depends on qualitative and quantitative factors. Some of these factors may have a greater effect on th...
متن کاملGroup Decision Making based on a New Evaluation Method and Hesitant Fuzzy Setting with an Application to an Energy Planning Problem
In recent two decades, countries focused on minimum extraction of fossil fuels and utilized the renewable energies based on countries' policies and the environmental considerations. Thus, choosing the best renewable energy alternative is a significant role to investment on them. Among the classical decision approaches that have used in the literature, the hesitant fuzzy sets (HFSs) theory is ap...
متن کامل